Arbor Realty Trust Stock Performance
| ABR Stock | USD 7.40 0.07 0.95% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.22, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arbor Realty will likely underperform. At this point, Arbor Realty Trust has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to confirm Arbor Realty's standard deviation, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Arbor Realty Trust performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Arbor Realty Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.95 | Five Day Return (0.67) | Year To Date Return (6.92) | Ten Year Return 18.59 | All Time Return (63.90) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.1637 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 10:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.2 | Dividend Date 2025-11-26 |
| Arbor Realty dividend paid on 26th of November 2025 | 11/26/2025 |
1 | Can This REIT Maintain Its 15 percent Yield | 01/15/2026 |
2 | Annaly Capital Management Beats Q4 Earnings Estimates | 01/28/2026 |
3 | Arbor Realty Trust Announces Tax Treatment of 2025 Dividends | 01/30/2026 |
4 | Fitch Upgrades Arbors Commercial Special Servicer Rating | 02/03/2026 |
5 | Will Fitchs Servicer Rating Upgrade and Tech Focus Change Arbor Realty Trusts Narrative | 02/05/2026 |
6 | Birtcher Anderson Davis and ABR Capital Partners Acquire Airport Circle Business Park in DFW | 02/10/2026 |
7 | Why Arbor Realty Trust Dipped More Than Broader Market Today | 02/12/2026 |
8 | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Announces the Appointment of Yoni Goodman as its Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer | 02/17/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.5 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 1.2 B |
Arbor Realty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 852.00 in Arbor Realty Trust on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (112.00) from holding Arbor Realty Trust or give up 13.15% of portfolio value over 90 days. Arbor Realty Trust is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.1847% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Arbor, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Arbor Realty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Arbor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.40 | 90 days | 7.40 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arbor Realty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Arbor Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Arbor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Arbor Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arbor Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arbor Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arbor Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arbor Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arbor Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arbor Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arbor Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Arbor Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arbor Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arbor Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arbor Realty Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arbor Realty Trust has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Announces the Appointment of Yoni Goodman as its Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer |
Arbor Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arbor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arbor Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arbor Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 205.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 503.9 M |
Arbor Realty Fundamentals Growth
Arbor Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arbor Realty, and Arbor Realty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arbor Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.066 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0149 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.35 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 12.22 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 195.71 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.40 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.64 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.81 X | ||||
| Revenue | 627.52 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 472.99 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.18 B | ||||
| Net Income | 283.92 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 503.8 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.04 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 10.04 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 4.92 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.91 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 12.08 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 461.52 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.79 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.55 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 13.49 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 13.04 M | ||||
About Arbor Realty Performance
Assessing Arbor Realty's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Arbor Realty's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Arbor Realty is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | (42.27) | (44.39) | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.08 | 0.08 |
Things to note about Arbor Realty Trust performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arbor Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Arbor Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arbor Realty Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arbor Realty Trust has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Announces the Appointment of Yoni Goodman as its Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer |
- Analyzing Arbor Realty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arbor Realty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Arbor Realty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Arbor Realty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arbor Realty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arbor Realty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Arbor Realty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Arbor Stock Analysis
When running Arbor Realty's price analysis, check to measure Arbor Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arbor Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Arbor Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arbor Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arbor Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arbor Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.